Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.543413 1.760019 1.995694 2.271116 2.584142 2.928838 3.337233
2025-10-26 1.192572 1.483774 1.828470 2.266426 2.808060 3.456064 4.290586
2025-11-02 1.000816 1.322767 1.726765 2.270650 2.983734 3.887092 5.119324
2025-11-09 0.846414 1.175782 1.609421 2.221668 3.063821 4.181956 5.780804
2025-11-16 0.749183 1.086700 1.549981 2.231661 3.209125 4.560746 6.573987
2025-11-23 0.678258 1.022714 1.513512 2.262901 3.378188 4.977461 7.448102
2025-11-30 0.607805 0.949663 1.453727 2.249916 3.475923 5.293398 8.196423
2025-12-07 0.540918 0.873581 1.379950 2.205386 3.517286 5.523025 8.827508
2025-12-14 0.479758 0.799262 1.300353 2.141705 3.519177 5.686952 9.363524
2025-12-21 0.435424 0.746963 1.249507 2.117136 3.577859 5.940018 10.057063
2025-12-28 0.415463 0.732662 1.258084 2.189317 3.798874 6.469139 11.244109
2026-01-04 0.379750 0.687728 1.211065 2.162326 3.848602 6.715795 11.970921
2026-01-11 0.357916 0.668380 1.211704 2.228473 4.084164 7.330044 13.450575
2026-01-18 0.325932 0.627981 1.172669 2.222665 4.196668 7.750367 14.647571
2026-01-25 0.299422 0.594361 1.141640 2.226854 4.325478 8.208458 15.954526
2026-02-01 0.269441 0.550467 1.086507 2.178806 4.349413 8.473021 16.919608
2026-02-08 0.249825 0.524650 1.062879 2.188609 4.484622 8.957890 18.355176
2026-02-15 0.234526 0.505770 1.050649 2.219252 4.663122 9.541328 20.041240
2026-02-22 0.216328 0.478736 1.019055 2.206515 4.750995 9.951126 21.411187
2026-03-01 0.197102 0.447312 0.975070 2.162836 4.768988 10.218666 22.507527
2026-03-08 0.178244 0.414576 0.924902 2.100372 4.739771 10.383571 23.397775
2026-03-15 0.164456 0.391714 0.893724 2.076273 4.791510 10.724127 24.703005
2026-03-22 0.159183 0.387904 0.904272 2.147074 5.062339 11.564977 27.207063